This market resolves YES unless traders get emotionally involved on both sides.

Fun•Whale Watching•Unranked•Unsubsidized

212

Ṁ81K

Ṁ1.1K

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

ALL

This market resolves YES unless total YES and NO positions add up to at least 50000 shares each on both sides. If that occurs, then instead the market resolves to YES if probability at close is at least 51%, and NO if it is 50% or lower. (If the trigger is hit, then the second condition will resolve, even if people later cash out and reduce their exposure).

In order to remain impartial so I will not be at risk of resolving this in my favor, I will not bet on this market.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ51,843
2		Ṁ9,338
3		Ṁ1,440
4		Ṁ1,361
5		Ṁ712

20 Comments

48 Holders

204 Trades

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predicted YES

💀

predicted YES

corrupted big whales

predicted YES

@Willa actually

predicted YES

WTF

predicted NO

I love winning when I trade on incorrect information x2

The final state of the market when trading closed

Thus it resolves NO.

The market has succeeded in getting big volume! :D
Just a bit left now, what last minute shenanegans will occur?

predicted YES

YES 25,528 shares

NO 25,450 shares

predicted NO

@AlexRockwell Can we get confirmation that the trigger limit has been hit?

predicted YES

@Jacknaut I don't know for sure that it hasn't been hit and dipped back below, but it's currently far below. The threshold is 50,000 on each side, not 50,000 in total.

bought Ṁ0 of YES

@philh oh

predicted NO

@Jacknaut Rip me then

@Jacknaut Yes it definitely has been hit. This will resolve based on if its above 50% or not now.

predicted NO

less than 9k left to hit trigger condition, if that.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

I'm too dumb and unsophisticated of an investor to speculate on what the odds of each resolution will be so I bought NO because its more profitable atm