🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ528
2		Ṁ124
3		Ṁ123
4		Ṁ111
5		Ṁ108

14 Comments

68 Holders

282 Trades

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admin resolved

bought Ṁ2,339 of YES

Can we resolve this now?

predicted YES

@zzlk @AlexLiesman

predicted NO

@zzlk “no bitches?”

bought Ṁ25 of NO

Fuck it we gamble

predicted YES

Am I missing something? This seems like an easy 90%+ market.

predicted YES

I believe this market moved based on the sheriff stating there would be a mugshut "unless I'm told otherwise". Other arraignments have not had mugshots, so it is possible he'll be told otherwise.

bought Ṁ30 of YES

Bet NO first, thinking he would be above the law.

Now sold NO an bought YES, because I realized his base will totally love the mugshot. And he will be smiling, as a confident winner.

https://manifold.markets/jack/will-trump-smile-in-his-mugshot-res?r=dWFpcjAx

Will Trump smile in his mugshot? (Resolves NO if no mugshot by September 30)

22% chance. Resolves the same as https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-smile-in-his-mugshot-1 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump is smiling in his front-view mugshot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This mugshot will resolve based on the first front-view mugshot released after this market's inception; if no mugshot is released by September 30, 2023 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and/or official information from law enforcement. Determination as to whether Trump is smiling in his mugshot will be made by this market's decentralized resolver, UMA. [link preview]

@uair01

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@Lorxus want to do a big limit bet on this?

predicted YES

or anyone else

bought Ṁ5 of YES

Indictment (Georgia)

https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23909541/23sc188947-criminal-indictment.pdf

predicted YES

"Unless somebody tells me differently, we are following our normal practices, and so it doesn't matter your status, we'll have a mug shot ready for you," Labat said in a recent interview with Atlanta television station WSB-TV.
https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20230814901/if-donald-trump-has-a-mug-shot-taken-in-georgia-it-could-become-the-most-famous-in-the-world

predicted YES

Deadline to self-surrender (For Georgia Indictments) is Noon Friday August 25th 2023.