Will 2024 be the warmest year on record? | Manifold Markets

closes Dec 31, 2024

Will 2024 be the warmest year on record?

58%

chance

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Stevenis predicting YES at 63%

@GooglyEyes I recommend copying mine from here.

Mikala Sterling bought Ṁ10 YES at 58%

Lina bought Ṁ10 YES from 57% to 58%

Nostradamnedus bought Ṁ10 YES from 56% to 57%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ100 YES at 56% (cancelled)

mzal sold Ṁ71 YES from 60% to 55%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ36/Ṁ100 YES at 60% (cancelled)

ACC bought Ṁ50 NO from 63% to 57%

Embedded Agent bought Ṁ10 YES from 62% to 63%

Embedded Agent bought Ṁ10 YES from 61% to 62%

DataPusher bought Ṁ10 YES at 61%

Evgenii Sergin bought Ṁ30 YES from 58% to 61%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 YES at 58% (cancelled)

Steven bought Ṁ30 YES from 54% to 57%

Nico D bought Ṁ10 YES from 53% to 54%

Samantha Wu bought Ṁ10 YES from 52% to 53%

audrey sold Ṁ20 YES from 54% to 52%

audrey bought Ṁ20 YES from 52% to 54%

Daniel Ziegler created limit order for Ṁ30 YES at 30%

Fion bought Ṁ10 YES from 51% to 52%

Fion sold Ṁ9 NO from 50% to 51%

Gabriel Wu bought Ṁ10 NO from 51% to 50%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 NO at 51% (cancelled)

Peter Ruschhaupt bought Ṁ30 YES from 48% to 52%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ9 NO at 48% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ22/Ṁ100 NO at 49% (cancelled)

mzal bought Ṁ50 YES from 45% to 52%

mzal bought Ṁ10 YES from 44% to 45%

oh no bought Ṁ10 NO from 45% to 44%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 YES at 45% (cancelled)

Dreamingpast sold Ṁ28 YES from 47% to 43%

Jonathan Ray bought Ṁ10 NO from 49% to 47%

error404 bought Ṁ10 NO from 51% to 49%

MARLON MAY bought Ṁ10 YES from 49% to 51%

MARLON MAY bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 49%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ13 NO at 47% (cancelled)

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 49%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ100 NO at 47% (cancelled)

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 49%

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ10 YES from 45% to 47%

Steven created limit order for Ṁ75 NO at 70%

Steven created limit order for Ṁ100 YES at 40%

Steven bought Ṁ10 YES from 43% to 45%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 43% (cancelled)

Steven bought Ṁ10 YES from 42% to 44%

Steven bought Ṁ10 YES from 40% to 42%

Odoacre bought Ṁ10 YES from 37% to 40%

Nikola bought Ṁ10 NO from 39% to 37%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ6 YES at 39%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ100 YES at 37% (cancelled)

Duncan bought Ṁ100 NO from 47% to 29%