This market resolves YES with probability 5% higher than the closing price for YES, modulo 100

Ṁ100Ṁ141

Feb 2

85%

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Let the closing price of YES in this market be x (rounded to the nearest integer). After this market closes, a random number y in the range 1-100 will be rolled. If y <= (x+5) mod 100, this market resolves YES. Otherwise this market resolves NO.

Update 2026-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The mod 100 operation returns a value between 0 and 99 inclusive (not 1-100).

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the mod 100 operation returns something between 0 and 99 inclusive, correct?

@jatloe yes

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