Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
58
58
resolved Sep 5
0.0%
Ben Wallace
1.3%
Rishi Sunak
0.0%
Priti Patel
0.0%
Penny Mordaunt
98.6%
Liz Truss
0.0%
Sajid Javid
0.0%
Jeremy Hunt
0.0%
Nadhim Zahawi
0.0%
Tom Tugendhat
0.0%
Steve Baker
0.0%
Suella Braverman
0.0%
Kemi Badenoch
0.0%
Keir Starmer
0.0%
Dominic Raab
Today, Boris Johnson resigned as Prime Minister. Who from the Conservative Party will replace him as PM? Note: the question resolves in several months because Boris Johnson said he'd remain PM until a new one is elected "in the autumn".
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Suppose they force him out in the short term while picking a new leader, how will you resolve the market?
@Shiney yeah if there is an interim leader (Raab) how does this resolve?
@NathanYoung @Shiney Hmmmmm πŸ€” In my head the spirit of the market is to determine who will be the next set-in-stone (for lack of a better term) Prime Minister, as opposed to the next stand-in while a permanent replacement is figured out. In the event of an interim leader, I'm tempted to keep it open until a non-interim leader is chosen. What do you think?
@AlexCatalanFlores yeah seems reasonable. plus most of the risk on raab is mine.