On January 1st 2025, I will prompt a drawing AI with the intention of making it draw pictures containing hands in various contexts, angles, lighting, etc.

I will grade each one as convincing based on my personal impression. I have a very pronounced natural disgust reaction towards deformed human shapes, to the point I can't stare at some drawings made by current AIs for more than 5 seconds without averting my eyes. So if I find I get that reaction from a hand I will grade it as not convincing.

To make the criteria a little more clear, nails coming out of the back of the hand, fingers coming out of the palm, slightly wrong proportions like fingers being too long, or the hand being too elongated wrt forearm, wrong number of fingers unless the hand is clearly cartoonish or an alien's, will definitely cause the disgust reaction.

Question will resolve to YES if 90% or more of the pictures, out of a sample size of 30, classify as "convincing".

EDIT 1: I commit to withdrawing any bet I made in this market by 15th December 2024.