Will I still consider improving AI X-Safety my top priority on EOY 2024?
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Plus
16
Ṁ282
Dec 31
63%
chance

Please await further detail on the definition of “AI X-Safety”

The key question here is whether I am primarily on a “AI X-Safety quest.”

If I’m prioritizing a career or projects in areas like AI alignment research, threat modeling, control, governance, etc. the market probably resolves YES.

However, if I’m prioritizing a career or projects in areas that might be motivated by AI X-safety, but for which the link is indirect, it probably wouldn’t count. Examples of indirect links: Working on a prediction market platform in hopes that improving human rationality would decrease x-risk. Becoming a therapist for AI researchers. etc.

There is some level of ambiguity about whether certain “indirect paths” count as “AI X-Safety.” My guess is that this won’t be an issue for this market in practice.

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@Alana TODO: Improve description

@Alana Updated

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