
Will I spend this summer doing conceptual alignment research
3
90Ṁ18resolved Oct 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Had a long conversation today that’s making me reflect more on the possible value of conceptual alignment work.
I probably won’t justify my resolution much
Just, will my focus this summer (say June~Sept) largely be conceptual alignment research?
Note: My current focus is not conceptual alignment research, but rather a mix of prioritization, empirical work, threat modeling, and school.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 2 years?
96% chance
Will I have a career as an alignment researcher by the end of 2024?
38% chance
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?
70% chance
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?
49% chance
Will I think that alignment is no longer "preparadigmatic" by the start of 2026?
18% chance
Will I have a research position at Conjecture (Research Engineer included) by the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will I have a research position at Anthropic (Research Engineer included) by the end of 2025?
13% chance
WhiteBox Research will have at least four fellows spending ≥10 h/wk on an alignment-oriented project by EoY 2024.
79% chance
By the end of 2025, which piece of advice will I feel has had the most positive impact on me becoming an effective AI alignment researcher?
Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?
62% chance