Will the next Starship Orbital Launch attempt occur before the end of July 2023?
Spaceβ€’Spacex
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resolved Aug 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

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predicted NO

not looking likely for a July launch

bought αΉ€25 of NO

I think it's a maybe 50% chance SpaceX will be technically ready, but it will take longer than 3 months to get another launch licence.

I hope I'm wrong but I feel it in my waters

Arbitrage

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