Will the next Starship Orbital Launch attempt occur before the end of October 2023? | Manifold

Will the next Starship Orbital Launch attempt occur before the end of October 2023?

22

closes Nov 1

22%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

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mxxun sold Ṁ11 YES from 25% to 22%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 25% (cancelled) 🤖

mxxun sold Ṁ12 YES from 27% to 24%

mxxun bought Ṁ5 YES from 26% to 27%

RealLies bought Ṁ14 NO at 26% 🎁

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ100 NO at 26% (cancelled) 🤖

mxxun bought Ṁ15 YES from 23% to 28%

MayMeta sold Ṁ3 NO at 23%

mxxun bought Ṁ7 YES from 21% to 23%

mxxun sold Ṁ16 YES from 26% to 21%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 26% (cancelled) 🤖

mxxun sold Ṁ10 YES from 28% to 25%

Chris Billington bought Ṁ20 NO from 30% to 28%

mxxun sold Ṁ6 YES from 32% to 30%

Javier Chavez sold Ṁ5 NO from 31% to 32%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 YES at 31% (cancelled) 🤖

mxxun sold Ṁ5 YES from 31% to 29%

mxxun sold Ṁ7 YES from 33% to 31%

mxxun sold Ṁ3 YES from 34% to 33%

Chris Billington bought Ṁ5 YES from 32% to 34%

Chris Billington bought Ṁ5 YES from 31% to 32%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 31% (cancelled) 🤖

Chris Billington bought Ṁ40 NO from 37% to 32%

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T P created limit order for Ṁ110 NO at 45%

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mxxun sold Ṁ11 YES from 41% to 38%

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Chris Billington bought Ṁ5 YES from 49% to 50%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 NO at 49% (cancelled) 🤖

Chris Billington bought Ṁ20 NO from 54% to 50%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 54% (cancelled) 🤖

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