Richard Yang sells out to computer science at MIT by end of April 2026?
Richard Yang sells out to computer science at MIT by end of April 2026?
9
1.2kṀ4502026
51%
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Market resolves YES if @RichardYang declares a major in computer science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology by April 30, 2026. Market resolves NO if he merely declares a minor in computer science, or a major in any other field.
Important information:
Richard Yang is an incoming freshman at MIT
He currently plans to major in physics
He made the US physics team in 2024 and 2025
He is interested in AI safety work
I will not trade.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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