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MANIFOLD
When will Yao Ye beat me in Codeforces rating?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ215
Aug 25
10%
Before June 2026
15%
Before July 2026
15%
Before August 2026
72%
After August 2026

Resolves based on when yao ye beats me in codeforces rating. Before [month name] means before midnight of the first of that month. Resolves "After August 2026" if he hasn't beaten me in rating by 8/1/2026 midnight.

Some info:

yao ye is highly orz

started cp last year already USACO gold/expert level

his cf is https://codeforces.com/profile/RninverseC

I on the other hand am simply a skill issue, here is my profile (notice the active downwards rating trend)

https://codeforces.com/profile/2-qiym

As of right now we both plan to pretty consistently do CFs (weekend ones).

to ensure I am not incentivized to purposely toss I will only allow myself to buy Yes on the "After August 2026" option, and No on the other options. I will not sell any of my shares.

note: reposted because im ass at creating markets

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