What is Grok 4's performance on METR's task length evaluation?
6
125Ṁ251
2026
21%
0 to 1.5 Hours
40%
1.5 to 2 Hours
20%
2 to 2.5 Hours
12%
2.5 to 3 Hours
7%
More than 3 Hours

Resolves based on the METR's measurement of the duration of tasks that can complete with a 50% success rate.

https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/

Grok 4 Heavy does not count

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy