What is Grok 4 Heavy's performance on METR's task length evaluation?
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5%
0 to 1.5 Hours
48%
1.5 to 2 Hours
25%
2 to 2.5 Hours
15%
2.5 to 3 Hours
7%
More than 3 Hours
Resolves based on the METR's measurement of the duration of tasks that can complete with a 50% success rate.
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/
Grok 4 Market here:
https://manifold.markets/AffineTyped/what-is-grok-4s-performance-on-metr
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