Open-source OpenAI model beats Grok 4 on LMArena?
36
1kṀ7269Aug 9
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://lmarena.ai/?leaderboard Arena Score without style control. The Open-Source OpenAI model considered for this market will be the most powerful to be released before August 9, a month after Grok 4 release.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
What is Grok 4's performance on METR's task length evaluation?
Will Claude 3.5 Opus beat OpenAI's best released model on the arena.lmsys.org leaderboard?
9% chance
Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]
46% chance
Will OpenAI's next major LLM (after GPT-4) surpass 74% accuracy on the GPQA benchmark?
86% chance
Will OpenAI's next major LLM (after GPT-4) surpass 70% accuracy on the GPQA benchmark?
75% chance
Llama 5 outperforms GPT 4o on LM Arena?
67% chance
Next model open sourced by OpenAI?