Did I get a stomachache after an "energy damage" circle?
25
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316
resolved May 25
Resolved
NO
I asked a bunch of my friends to surround me and project damaging energy onto me, with the concrete goal of giving me a stomach ache. They did this for approximately 1 minute, complete with yelling and aggressive noises. Would you guess I did or did not develop a stomachache in the 3 hours after this experience? (my base rate of stomachaches is around 1 every 5 days)
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bought Ṁ10 of YES
Hope you feel better soon!
bought Ṁ58 of YES
Whether or not the magickal spell works as imagined is beside the point. "1 every 5 days" seems like a very high base rate, so just thinking about "do I have a stomach ache" for an hour could probably cause one.
bought Ṁ50 of YES
Were there snacks afterwards? Were there more leftovers of the snacks than expected, as though your friends were somehow suspicious of them?
bought Ṁ50 of YES
20% base rate + placebo + amplified germ vector + makes this a good bet.
predicted YES
What would be interesting if you decided to make this market before or after you knew the result.
bought Ṁ10 of NO
Magic isn’t real but the placebo effect is, so who knows?
bought Ṁ50 of NO
magic isn't real