By what years will I agree that "The Superalignment Problem has a technically elegant solution w.p. >80%”?
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20
Ṁ54942051
10%
2024
16%
2025
29%
2026
38%
2027
48%
2028
49%
2030
61%
2040
61%
2050
I will pay attention to the statement "The Superalignment Problem has a technically elegant solution w.p. >80%" and occasionally report my beliefs if asked in the comments. This market resolves YES to all the years greater than or equal to the first year I report YES on the underlying statement.
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