By what years will I agree that "The Superalignment Problem has a technically elegant solution w.p. >80%”?
➕
Plus
17
5.2k
2051
12%
2024
16%
2025
29%
2026
37%
2027
48%
2028
48%
2030
61%
2040
60%
2050

I will pay attention to the statement "The Superalignment Problem has a technically elegant solution w.p. >80%" and occasionally report my beliefs if asked in the comments. This market resolves YES to all the years greater than or equal to the first year I report YES on the underlying statement.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

I currently believe 2030 at 55%.

More related questions