Will commercial AI tutoring services become prevalent in the US by 2025?
AI capabilities (short- and medium-term) [WIP]
34
184
Ṁ650
2025
26%
chance

The question resolves YES if either of the following occur:

  • An AI product specifically focused on academic teaching/tutoring reaches 3 million monthly US users for at least two consecutive months

  • At least 10% of American public schools actively use or offer AI-based tutoring tools for their students, as reported by a reputable news organization

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bought Ṁ10 of NO

I’m sure the tools will exist but if maths was just invented I would not trust ten percent of schools to put it in place within two years.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@Noit Agreed, seems high

bought Ṁ50 of YES

@jonsimon The resolution is either/or though, and 3 million is much less than 10% of students. Khan Academy has ~6x the monthly users (probably not just US though) and they're working on their 'Khanmigo'.

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