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MANIFOLD
What will be the highest reported Remote Labor Index (RLI) AI automation rate by the end of each of the following years?
6
Ṁ1kṀ2.2k
2032
40%
2026
79%
2027
83%
2028
84%
2029
86%
2030
87%
2032

The Remote Labor Index (RLI) is a benchmark of 240 long-horizon remote labor tasks, collected as a representative sample of fully-remote labor performed by freelancers. Tasks in the dataset take human professionals between several hours to several hundred hours (see figures from the paper below).

Though most of the benchmark is private, the creators will occasionally report model performance on the benchmark as evaluated by themselves and/or model providers. At the end of each listed year, I will resolve to the highest reported RLI automation rate (fraction of tasks completed) of an AI model that year. The current best evaluated model as of October 2025 is Manus, at a 2.5% automation rate.

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