I want to take a short-term position against people's pessimism.

This market resolves YES if the IMO Gold Before 2025 Market (https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat) spends more than half of the time (potentially non-contiguous) of a 1-month window above 30% between late April 2024 and August 2024 (window can begin anytime in the next 3 months).

If this seems very unlikely to you, take my money. If you're afraid to buy this market down, maybe you should reconsider how you're pricing the underlying asset...