Will the AMPTP reach agreements with both the WGA and SAG-AFTRA to end their current strikes before November 1st 2023?
Will the AMPTP reach agreements with both the WGA and SAG-AFTRA to end their current strikes before November 1st 2023?
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650Ṁ21kresolved Nov 2
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Market resolves by EOD (11:59PM PST) on Tuesday, October 31st 2023.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
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Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.