Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation?
10
61
308
2025
87%
chance

There are many testimonies currently being given and circulated in media about incidents of mass rape of Israeli women on Oct 7.

This market will track whether an independent investigation is done and will resolve to yes if such investigation determines that these sexual crimes against women did in fact occur.

This is a timed market and ends end of 2024.

Independent organization means any recognized human rights org or other orgs that do not have direct ties or interests with Israeli security apparatus.

A single isolated case of rape will not resolve this to yes. What must be shown by the investigation is that multiple people were involved and multiple women were raped.

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Will this resolve yes if any rape occurred?

@GCS Good question will update.