More than 5 000 000 refugees moved into Poland by 2022-06-01
8
4
Ṁ159Ṁ24
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
More than 2 000 000 refugees moved into Poland by 2022-06-01, according to the official statistics.
To the first approximation, it will be count of people who moved through the Ukrainian border since war started.
People who left Poland are included.
https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot/will-at-least-5-million-refugees-fr "Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries?" is related
https://manifold.markets/M/more-than-2-000-000-refugees-moved resolved as yes
Get Ṁ600 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ61 | |
2 | Ṁ9 | |
3 | Ṁ8 | |
4 | Ṁ1 |
Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?
33% chance
Will the UK an have average of more than 500,000 net migrants per year between Sep 2022 and the next election?
67% chance
Will Poland's GDP per capita be greater than 25000 USD by 2030?
68% chance
Will Poland overtake UK in GDP per capita by 2050?
35% chance
Will Poland stay a member of the European Union in 2050?
67% chance
Seaflooding of at least 5000 km^2 officially announced by a government, to reach that level by 2046
58% chance
Will Polish parliament end „Rodzina 500 plus” before 2030?
24% chance
At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
31% chance
Will 500,000 Palestinian civilians be externally displaced from Gaza by the end of 2024?
19% chance
Poland: Will the CPI inflation in Poland exceed 5% by the end of 2024?
71% chance