Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries?
20
7
แน€100
resolved May 15
Resolved
YES
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9994/5m-ukrainian-refugees/ Close date updated to 2025-01-01 11:59 pm
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bought แน€1 of YES
I created https://manifold.markets/M/more-than-5-000-000-refugees-moved asking is more than 5 000 000 is going to reach Poland
bought แน€50 of YES
We're already at 3 million.
sold แน€11 of NO
The longer it drags on the more likely....
bought แน€20 of NO
assuming seek assistance will be verfied by seeking official asylum or some documented measure of assistance seeking IN another country.