Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Manifold

Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries?

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resolved May 15

Resolved

YES

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1M

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From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9994/5m-ukrainian-refugees/ Close date updated to 2025-01-01 11:59 pm

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#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war

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I created https://manifold.markets/M/more-than-5-000-000-refugees-moved asking is more than 5 000 000 is going to reach Poland

We're already at 3 million.

The longer it drags on the more likely....

assuming seek assistance will be verfied by seeking official asylum or some documented measure of assistance seeking IN another country.

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