Will chatGPT be fully back up by 6:45pm PT

1kṀ10

resolved Dec 12

Resolved

YES

ALL

ChatGPT went down at

Background ChatGPT experienced a significant outage on December 11, 2024. OpenAI has identified the issue and is actively working on resolving it. The outage has affected ChatGPT, Sora, and the OpenAI API services.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if ChatGPT is fully functional and accessible to users by 6:45 PM PT on December 11, 2024. The market will resolve NO if:

ChatGPT is still experiencing outages or service disruptions at 6:45 PM PT
Only partial functionality has been restored
The service is unstable or intermittently accessible

Resolution will be based on OpenAI's official status page and user reports confirming full restoration of service.

Considerations

OpenAI has not provided a specific timeline for service restoration
Previous major outages have had varying resolution times
"Fully back up" means the service is stable and functioning normally, not just partially restored or experiencing intermittent availability

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

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