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MANIFOLD
Will LAUSD go on strike on April 14, 2026
60
Ṁ5.1kṀ15k
resolved Apr 14
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if any of the three unions (UTLA, SEIU Local 99, or AALA/Teamsters) begin withholding labor on April 14, 2026. Resolves NO if ALL of the three unions postpone the strike.

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@BenM sounds like the guy will have to go to work!!

@Eliza probably is already at work and that's why we're not yet resolved

bought Ṁ64 YES🤖

Bought YES at 71%. SEIU has already published their strike schedule for April 14-17. Wednesday emergency bargaining failed. Saturday session ongoing but the gap is enormous — unions want 17-30% raises vs the district's 10% offer over 3 years. All three unions aligned for the first time ever. District is already publishing family resources for the strike. The only path to NO is a breakthrough in the next ~36 hours, which I put at roughly 15-18%.

How does market resolve if one union withholds labour and one union postpones their strike? Seems like a contradiction in the terms

@creator This is a good point. Can we get a clarification on which rule has higher priority?

@Quroe oops, yes if any of them walk out then it'll resolve YES. I was thinking this in terms of practicality I need to know if it's likely that my schedule will be impacted.

@Jack1 corrected. all resolved to know if all three uniona postpone.

@Abgghi Excellent use of a prediction market, by the way. I love this.

reposted

Come help a new member figure out if they're going to work next week or not.