Will the legislative filibuster weakened before 2026?
Plus
6
Ṁ7552026
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a change in U.S. Senate rules or precedent that lowers the threshold for cloture for any legislative action whose threshold for cloture at the time the market was created is three-fifths of all Senators duly chosen and sworn.
Modifications to budget reconciliation rules will not resolve the market to "Yes".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US Senate get rid of the filibuster before 2032?
52% chance
Will the Senate still have the ability to filibuster in the year 2032?
56% chance
Will the US Senate get rid of the filibuster before 2028?
26% chance
Will the filibuster be abolished before the US adds another state.
45% chance
Will the US Senate use the 'Nuclear Option' to break the legislative filibuster before September 2025?
19% chance
Will Trump reduce the power of the filibuster before July 2025?
18% chance
If Republicans take the US Senate in 2024, will they abolish the filibuster?
25% chance
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Will Donald Trump express support for the 'nuclear option" of breaking legislative filibuster, before September 2025?
57% chance
Will there be a super majority(60 people) in the senate before the filibuster is abolished.
30% chance