Will the US Senate use the 'Nuclear Option' to break the legislative filibuster before September 2025?
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2025
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The United State Senate features a parliamentary procedure known as the filibuster, which requires a three-fifths threshold to invoke cloture and vote.

The rules have been changed several times, including the adoption of a two-track system in the 1960's and altering the rule to exclude judicial and executive branch nominees from the three-fifths threshold in 2013 and 2017.

This question resolves YES if the U.S. Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators duly chosen and sworn, before September 1st, 2025 (ET).

Otherwise, this question resolves NO.

In any cases of ambiguity, this market will refer to the relevant Wikipedia entry to arbitrate the resolution.

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What if the rules are changed so cloture could be thus passed but no actual motion to do so is needed. In other words, is the potential to do so not enough to resolve?

bought Ṁ50 YES

This market is mis-titled - the body of market is about abolishing the filibuster (potentially for a subset of motions) by any process. The "nuclear option" is not the only way the senate could abolish the filibuster.

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