Will any 3rd party candidate win over 1% of the popular vote nationally?
25
1kṀ1184resolved Nov 27
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve "YES" if any third-party candidate gets over 1% of the popular vote nationally. For these purposes, a third-party candidate means anyone who is running as neither a Republican nor a Democrat nor are they on the Democratic or Republican ticket. The popular vote totals will be based on the Certificate of Ascertainment filed by each state. If multiple Certificates of Ascertainment are filed the ones posted by the National Archive will control.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ200 | |
| 2 | Ṁ76 | |
| 3 | Ṁ71 | |
| 4 | Ṁ47 | |
| 5 | Ṁ38 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a third party candidate win the 2028 USA presidential election?
2% chance
Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
5% chance
Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?
35% chance
Will a third-party candidate win the US presidency by 2040?
13% chance
What party will the next third party candidate to win a state in the US presidential election
Will there a 3rd party candidate win at least one state in the US presidential election before the US adds a 51st state
24% chance
Will a Third Party Candidate win a House seat by 2040?
19% chance