Will non-US stocks outperform US stocks in 2024?
52
Ṁ2KṀ1K
2025
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ21 +114.9%
New probability
47% +0.5%
Resolves to YES if the VXUS ETF outperforms the VTI ETF on a total return basis (dividends reinvested) in 2024.
VXUS tracks the FTSE Global All Cap ex US Index and VTI tracks the CRSP US Total Market Index.
The total return calculations for the ETFs will be taken from Morningstar.com ("Total Return % (NAV)"). Note that performance is measured in US dollar terms (not local currency returns for international stocks).
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