Will YouTube be blocked in Russia before the end of 2024?
22
493
Ṁ1.9KṀ410
Dec 31
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resultion criteria
This question will resolve positively if, according to at least 3 independent media reports, the entire Youtube website is blocked in Russia for at least 7 consecutive days between market start and December 31, 2024. Otherwise, it will resolve negatively.
Author betting policy
I will bet on this market for calibration purposes.
The 2023 market:
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
https://theins.press/en/politics/265749, and various reporting spurred by it (in russian; too many to list) is the likely source of the current jump.
Related questions
Will Russia ban usage of YouTube in 2024?
23% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2024?
33% chance
Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2024?
82% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2024?
94% chance
Will YouTube back out of their Adblock crackdown before 2025?
25% chance
Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics?
2% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2028?
70% chance
Will Youtube TV be discontinued by the end of 2025?
29% chance
Will there be a coup attempt in Russia by the end of 2024?
21% chance
Will there be a coup attempt in Russia before the end of 2024?
20% chance