
Will YouTube be blocked in Russia before the end of 2023?
126
2kṀ23kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is inspired by the 2022 market: https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot/will-youtube-be-blocked-in-russia-i
Resultion criteria
I will use the same resolution criteria as the 2021 and 2022 questions on Metaculus:
This question will resolve positively if, according to at least 3 independent media reports, the entire Youtube website is blocked in Russia for at least 7 consecutive days between market start and December 31, 2023. Otherwise, it will resolve negatively.
Author betting policy
I will bet on this market for calibration purposes.
The 2022 market:
UPD 2022-12-20: updated target period in the market description to match the question (2023 instead of 2022).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ1,411 | |
2 | Ṁ120 | |
3 | Ṁ108 | |
4 | Ṁ94 | |
5 | Ṁ67 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will YouTube begin restricting uploads by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Youtube TV be discontinued by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Major damage to YouTube video availability by end 2028
28% chance
Will YouTube limit unlimited free uploading of videos by EOY 2025
15% chance
Will YouTube.com still exist in 2300?
38% chance
Will any country block themselves from the internet before 2027?
60% chance