This market resolves YES if it becomes publicly known that at least one enemy rocket, mortar shell, missile, air bomb, or kamikaze drone reached Haifa and caused some damage between the market start and the end of 2024.
Author betting policy.
I will not bet on this market.
Previous market (2023): https://manifold.markets/AVS/will-haifa-be-successfully-attacked
1,000
3.00https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/skq11vox11x
Ynet reports 2 rocket explosions in Haifa
IDF Spokesman: Following the alerts that were activated at 23:22 in the Carmel and Gulf area, about five launches were identified that crossed Lebanese territory, and interception attempts were made. Falls were detected in the area, the incident is being investigated.
Further to Haifa: a number of casualties were reported - among them one injured in moderate condition from shrapnel.
A dozen more. Unconfirmed interceptor fragments hit houses in Kiriyat Yam and somewhere in Haifa.
@ICRainbow Just to clarify, according to wikipedia, Kiryat Bialik is a city in the Haifa District, but still a distinct city. It was close, but still not a YES.
@AVS yeah, I wouldn't be happy for such a resolution on the NO side.
The administrative division there is a mess. Kiriyat Haim and Kiriyat Yam are considered Haifa, but the rest of the krayot aren't, despite being on the other side of a street.
And real estate sites consider them a part of Haifa.
Personally, I would rather require Haifa city proper, without all of the krayot. Despite some bureaucratic particulars which muddy the spirit of the question.
@ICRainbow Meanwhile, everyone may consider this as an evidence that scoring a hit there is possible.
This is a third wave for tonight.
Alert levels raised due to "hundreds of launchers" detected targeting Haifa and central Israel.
Alerts in Kiryat Bialik near Haifa today