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MANIFOLD
Russia announces mobilization before November 2026
1
Ṁ1kṀ200
Oct 31
50%
chance

Mobilisation of personnel. Must be called "mobilisation" by the Russian government (possibly with extra adjectives") OR use the same lagal structure a general mobilization would use as it's main legal background.

I will not trade. Updates to criteria based on feedback welcome in the forst 7 days of the question.

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A partial mobilization has already been ordered years ago, no? So under the current rules this should be resolved yes.

As far as I looked into this, Russia is keeping their conscription and mobilization policy intentionally vague, so I think it might be difficult to make clear rules for resolving this market.