Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026
6
Ṁ1kṀ347
Oct 31
49%
chance

New wave of mobilisation of personnel as rumoured by some telegram channels. Must be called "mobilisation" by the Russian government (possibly with extra adjectives") OR use the same lagal structure a general mobilization would use as it's main legal background.

This market resolves purely based on announcements/admissions by the Russian government.

I will not trade. Updates to criteria based on feedback welcome in the first 7 days of the question.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Russia announces whatever their political establishment wants people to believe, hell we do this in the UK, but Russia is the poster-child of this sort of make_it_up_as_you_go_along press.

@AlanTennant Betting on that view is encouraged :-)

A partial mobilization has already been ordered years ago, no? So under the current rules this should be resolved yes.

As far as I looked into this, Russia is keeping their conscription and mobilization policy intentionally vague, so I think it might be difficult to make clear rules for resolving this market.

@JohansyOpn This is intended to capture a new wave of mobilisation as rumored. I.e. must happen after question creation. Agree that there can be difficult edge cases, but I find it likely that things will be relatively clear cut.