How far will Armand Duplantis take the pole vault world record?
Plus
7
Ṁ14312040
3%
6.25 (record at time of market creation)
8%
6.26
22%
6.27
10%
6.28
12%
6.29
12%
6.30
34%
>6.30
Resolves to the highest record Duplantis sets in his career (i. e. only one answer resolves YES - not every level he clears).
Resolves in 2040 OR, if he retires earlier than that, a year after the competition he declares to be his last one (to make room for him changing his mind about retiring). Indoor as well as outdoor competitions count. Must be ratified by whichever organisation is responsible for recognizing official athletics records at the time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Duplantis has cleared 6.26 (https://www.sportschau.de/leichtathletik/626-m-duplantis-mit-naechstem-stabhochsprung-weltrekord,diamond-league-110.html)
Apparently there's no way to resolve individual options as NO on this type of question.