1. Will Biden’s approval rating (as per 538) be greater than 50% at the end of 2022? | Manifold

1. Will Biden’s approval rating (as per 538) be greater than 50% at the end of 2022?

Basic

51

Ṁ8410

resolved Feb 1

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

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I think that the odds of this should be around 35%, not 13%.

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