1. Will Biden’s approval rating (as per 538) be greater than 50% at the end of 2022?
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Ṁ8410resolved Feb 1
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From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
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