MANIFOLD
Is the shrinking cut-off in Diamond League fully intentional? πŸŽ– πŸ’Ž πŸ’Ώ
24
αΉ€100αΉ€1.6k
resolved Mar 3
Resolved
NO

After Season 24, 133 traders stayed in Diamond League or were promoted to Masters League.

After Season 34, 25 traders will stay in Diamond League or will be promoted to Masters League.

From Season 27 to Season 34, the average demotion cut-off has gone down from 15 to 3.125…

Was this change fully intentional?

If there was only the intention to lower the cut-off a bit, but this large decrease is the unintended consequence of the code / algorithm implemented, that would not count as fully intentional and resolve as NO.

  • Update 2026-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that evidence showing the shrinking cut-off is "a dumb mistake and no one wants to fix it" would count as confirmation for a NO resolution, as this would be unintentional or "not fully intentional."

  • Update 2026-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will resolve NO based on common sense reasoning if no objections are raised by other traders within approximately one week of their ping (around 2026-02-24). This means the market can resolve NO without requiring explicit staff confirmation that the shrinking cut-off was unintentional.

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As there were no objections from other @traders, I will resolve NO as discussed below.

bought αΉ€25 NO

LOL

@windysoup It gets worse:

@4fa Is @Gurkenglas (or whoever will be in that group's second place) simultaneously demoting and promoting next month? @mods πŸ˜…

sold αΉ€6 YES

@Dssc "It's a dumb mistake and no one wants to fix it" sounds unintentional or at least "not fully intentional" to me, so personally I would count this as confirmation for a NO resolution. What do other @traders think?

sold αΉ€202 NO

@4fa Common sense already says this wasn't intentional. Question is: Who's gotta admit it wasn't intentional? Eliza is not staff.

Edit: The market doesn't refer to any confirmation or the like, so as long as nobody finds a quote along the lines of "yeah, we want to get rid of diamond soon", resolving No on even just the common sense argument seems fine?

@Primer Just saw your edit. I might do that if there are no objections from other @traders until tomorrow. That would be a week after my original ping above.

@Dssc I don't suppose some kind person would copy and paste the discord message here for those of us who don't use discord? I'm really curious about what's going on here!

bought αΉ€20 NO

Can't imagine this was intentional. This season, 10 players will retain their spot in Diamond. 18 will promote to Masters. Doesn't make sense.

@Primer What? That's not even close to true.

@SimonWestlake Why? Do you think they will change the promoting/demoting midway during the season?

@Primer I counted 9 retaining their current spot in Diamond and 16 promoting, so that is very close to true.

@4fa Have a closer look at Lucky Minotaurs: 2 stay in that league. I had missed that myself as well and had to edit my comment. And if I didn't mess up counting, it should indeed be 2 per each Diamond promoting to Masters for a total of 18. Fits with 18 demoting from Masters.

Curious what @SimonWestlake is trying to say here?

@Primer You're right! I counted the Lucky Minotaurs, but missed another group.

bought αΉ€10 YES

I really like this direction. Unless you have massive amounts of both mana and skill, you've got no hope of being competitive in Masters. Making diamond league more and more difficult to stay in makes that a significant accomplishment in itself, which is very welcome.

@SimonWestlake also makes platinum actually valuable

bought αΉ€50 YES

tbh it seems a little too strong now. Only three people stay? That's crazily small.

@Qoiuoiuoiu But you think it's fully intentional despite that?

@4fa More likely than not imo

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