I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100. If the number is between 1 and 66 (inclusive), this market resolves to YES; otherwise, it resolves to NO. I will also record betting behavior for this and related markets with varying odds and analyze the data statistically to look for patterns in participants’ decisions.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,319 | |
| 2 | Ṁ244 | |
| 3 | Ṁ183 | |
| 4 | Ṁ99 | |
| 5 | Ṁ19 |
@traders Some preliminary statistics using @Sketchy's tournament platform: https://www.sidequests.space/manifoldtournaments/tournament.html?id=8
@traders Some preliminary statistics using @Sketchy's tournament platform: https://www.sidequests.space/manifoldtournaments/tournament.html?id=8
@121 Thanks for the heads-up! Not by me. I previously got an okay for this series of markets, I thought. 🤔
@4fa So @mods why was this one made private? I will probably be unable to use it as part of my statistics because it isn't comparable with the other markets if it's hidden. If you want me to change something about this series of markets, or if you want me to end the experiment, please give me advance notice. I was making these under the assumption that I have your okay.
@4fa gotcha. yeah I'm just temporarily putting a damper on all self resolving markets (except the very limited pre-approved ones), since there have been way too many recently. I'd just put a pause on this series for a bit.
@Stralor Let me know when I can continue the series and in what format, okay? Two week rhythm instead of one? One month rhythm?
@4fa you can resume at one week. for some reason I thought the were more frequent. and the constant bombardment of self resolving has slowed now