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MANIFOLD
Do you like 34% odds?
10
Ṁ10kṀ379
resolved Jul 6
Resolved
YES

I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100. If the number is between 1 and 34 (inclusive), this market resolves to YES; otherwise, it resolves to NO. I will also record betting behavior for this and related markets with varying odds and analyze the data statistically to look for patterns in participants’ decisions.

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@FairlyRandom 100

🤖

@4fa you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 6264422 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6264424, salt: u3nji62h7qm.

🤖

@4fa your random number is: 31

Salt: u3nji62h7qm, round: 6264424 (signature a472dfab4a68e55bfce965c4bf46b0157cb50ad52a1225468de54878ec084e1163df00e6a873ceacb7856ba204fcd1ec0ef7d527f90e626b7de3b2145b4388632e2926b52d829867d782db45da6d83e3d201e6cd8d289c4f4230128151be762b)

bought Ṁ10 YES

Good experiment! 💡

@Web3ICP Thank you! I'm hoping to get to analyzing once this heatwave is over…

@Web3ICP Some preliminary statistics using Sketchy's tournament platform: https://www.sidequests.space/manifoldtournaments/tournament.html?id=8

Tournament - Manifold Tournaments