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MANIFOLD
Do you like 2% odds?
12
Ṁ10kṀ802
resolved May 29
Resolved
NO

I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100. If the number is between 1 and 2, this market resolves to YES; otherwise, it resolves to NO. I will also record betting behavior for this and related markets with varying odds and analyze the data statistically to look for patterns in participants’ decisions.

  • Update 2026-05-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The random number range is inclusive (i.e., 1 and 2 are both winning numbers), so there are exactly 2 winning outcomes out of 100.

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@4fa your random number is: 32

Salt: vszrvyxhawr, round: 6155059 (signature b90f77df7bc84433fdbe169819e5ab6625fabba1d504130b5765869766f34cf41a7e38edce1ff005d53f3f73a46e254a09cd73530011984c186388853862e78a1fb1a673935d481989da586f49bdbd059e2dc3e14026eafa7b3402f527f2344d)

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@4fa you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 6155057 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6155059, salt: vszrvyxhawr.

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AI forecast card:

Between 1 and 2?

@AlanTennant inclusive

@4fa :) cool