▶️ How many views will 3Blue1Brown's "colliding blocks that compute pi" video have in three weeks (21 April)?
6
100Ṁ130
Apr 21
2.4m
expected
83%
Above 2,600,000
65%
Above 2,800,000
38%
Above 3,000,000
13%
Above 3,200,000

The popular math YouTuber 3Blue1Brown has recently released There’s More to Those Colliding Blocks That Compute Pi.

How many views will YouTube display for the embedded video when I check on April 21st around 16:00 UTC?

Inspired by the following and similar @Ziddletwix markets: https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/how-many-views-will-3blue1browns-bu

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Not quite sure how the market gets an expected value of 1.9m when both 2.6m and 2.8m are currently above 50%…

@4fa Perhaps it's calculating average instead of median and it considers 'below 2.6m' as 0?

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