Resolution Criteria

The 2026 World Baseball Classic is an international professional baseball tournament between 20 national baseball teams running from March 5-17, 2026. This market resolves YES if the USA wins the championship game on March 17. The Championship Game will be played on March 17 at loanDepot Park, home of the Miami Marlins. Resolution will be determined by the official final score of the championship game as reported by MLB.com or ESPN.

Background

Japan is the defending champion, having defeated the United States in the 2023 WBC championship game. The United States enters the tournament as the odds on favorite at -110, giving them slightly better than a 50% implied probability to win the championship. The United States enters the tournament as the clear betting favorite thanks to what may be the deepest roster in World Baseball Classic history, with the lineup anchored by Aaron Judge and Bryce Harper. The Americans are currently 3-0 in the tournament after defeating Mexico 5-3.

Considerations

Pool play is a round robin double-elimination tournament, but after pool play, the rest of the tournament is single elimination. This means a single loss in the quarterfinals or later rounds eliminates the USA from championship contention.

This description was generated by AI.