Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the team that wins the 2026 Major League Baseball (MLB) World Series entered the postseason as a wild card team.

Under MLB rules, a wild card team is any team that qualifies for the postseason without winning its division (typically seeded #4, #5, or #6 in the American League or National League playoffs).

This market resolves to NO if the World Series winner is a division champion (seeded #1, #2, or #3 in either league).

The primary source of truth for resolution will be official playoff standings and results published on MLB.com. If the 2026 World Series is canceled or otherwise fails to crown a champion by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to N/A.

Background

Under the current MLB playoff format, 12 teams qualify for the postseason—six from the American League and six from the National League. In each league, three spots are reserved for division champions, and the remaining three spots go to wild card teams. The two division winners with the best records receive first-round byes, while the lowest-seeded division winner (#3) and all three wild card teams (#4, #5, and #6) must play in the best-of-three Wild Card Series.

This format gives top division winners a resting advantage, but wild card teams have historically found success in October, most recently illustrated by the Texas Rangers winning the World Series as a wild card team in 2023.

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