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MANIFOLD
What happened at the White House?
44
Ṁ1.2kṀ4.3k
Jun 22
65%
Trump mentions the ballroom when discussing the event
48%
There was an assasination attempt
45%
There was a major security failure and an investigation is opened
12%
The event is labeled a terrorist attack
9%
Shots were fired INSIDE the White House compound
6%
Anyone other than the suspect(s) died
Resolved
YES
Gunshots were fired
Resolved
YES
Secret Service exchanged gunfire with at least one suspect
Resolved
YES
Trump was inside the White House while the event happened
Resolved
YES
We learn the identity of any suspects before midnight (ET)
Resolved
YES
Anyone died including suspect(s)

"There was an assasination attempt": resolves YES if there is broad media consensus in calling the event an assasination attempt on a public figure.

"Shots were fired INSIDE the White House compound": resolves YES if before market close there is reporting clearly stating that shots were fired inside the compound. Resolves NO if there is reporting clearly stating the opposite. Resolves N/A if there is no reporting of any kind about where shots were fired by market close.

"Trump mentions the ballroom when discussing the event": resolves YES if before market close and while discussing the event Trump makes any kind of reference to the ballroom. There must be video of him talking, indirect reporting wouldn't count.

  • Update 2026-05-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "Shots were fired INSIDE the White House compound" sub-question can resolve YES based on Secret Service gunshots.

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bought Ṁ150 YES

@256 also resolves yes

The President was in the White House during the incident, however no protectees or operations were impacted.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c5y09vpe713t?post=asset%3Abbd1fc40-9059-403c-bb46-ed62c3e5f2ca#postq

@TheAllMemeingEye thanks for the link!

this can resolve YES from Secret Service gunshots btw

bought Ṁ20 YES