Is it socially acceptable to doodle on the market graph? | Manifold Markets

Johnny Ten-Numbers

closes Nov 30

Manifold Self-resolving Fun

Is it socially acceptable to doodle on the market graph?

86%

chance

Relevant xkcd:

I wrote a script to do that sort of thing and tested it here: https://manifold.markets/FairlyRandom/test-market-b5247070e715. Hope you don't mind me hijacking your test market @A!

Do you Manifold people think it's generally alright to draw stuff on markets without asking first? YES means yes, NO means no, though I'm leaving the question intentionally vague to hopefully spark some discussion. This question will resolve to the market price at some random point in the last day.

I will not participate myself. Here is the SHA-256 hash of the timestamp used for resolution: 1b7b34b137df12ab0aeb73bf306954e0fa1573b81ac255e119e827a82a059d46

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Ah neat! I was wondering why you were trading so much in my market. 😂

Seems legit to me.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Society acceptable, but self resolving market.

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@MartinRandall Woah woah woah, are we really going to let dishonest actors ruin this for the rest of us!?

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Woah, so cool!

bought Ṁ69 of NO

sad the market keeps losing value as I'm drawing on it

wow does no one recognize this drawing? sad

is predicting NO at 78%

@Sinclair Is it an M

Cornelius Grass

@Sinclair ...is this Loss?

bought Ṁ5 of YES

oh this is adorable

If people don't draw anything on this market, I'll be very disappointed.

bought Ṁ0 of YES

Yes, this is completely fine. Other people may interfere with the drawing though, and your bot will be easily exploited for mana.

Michael Wheatley

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Awesome! How difficult was it to program?

Johnny Ten-Numbers

@MichaelWheatley Thanks! Drawing stuff was only like 30 lines of code (interpolating the comic was the hard part). I’m not sure about sharing them though. Seems dual-use.

Manifold DreamBot

Is it socially acceptable to doodle on the market graph?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

sold Ṁ11 YES at 86%

bought Ṁ100 YES from 84% to 86%

bought Ṁ68 YES from 83% to 84%

bought Ṁ69 YES from 81% to 83%

bought Ṁ67 YES from 79% to 81%

bought Ṁ66 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ67 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ67 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ65 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ300 YES at 79%

sold Ṁ9 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ20 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

filled limit order Ṁ200/Ṁ200 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

bought Ṁ10 YES from 77% to 78%

filled limit order Ṁ200/Ṁ200 NO at 79%

bought Ṁ90 YES from 73% to 77%

William Hargraves (bot)

bought Ṁ5 YES at 73%

William Hargraves (bot)

bought Ṁ5 YES from 72% to 73%

bought Ṁ50 NO from 80% to 72%

bought Ṁ50 NO from 86% to 80%

bought Ṁ100 YES from 85% to 86%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 85%

bought Ṁ300 YES from 83% to 85%

bought Ṁ100 YES from 80% to 83%

bought Ṁ100 YES from 79% to 80%

Cornelius Grass

bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ300 YES from 78% to 79%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

Michael Wheatley

sold Ṁ1 YES at 78%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

Artiles Quintana

bought Ṁ20 YES at 78%

filled limit order Ṁ50/Ṁ50 NO at 78%

created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 22%

filled limit order Ṁ50/Ṁ50 NO at 85%

sold Ṁ104 NO from 78% to 79%

bought Ṁ100 YES from 77% to 78%

Michael Wheatley

filled limit order Ṁ85/Ṁ85 NO at 78%

bought Ṁ10 NO from 79% to 77%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ150/Ṁ150 YES at 80%

bought Ṁ100 YES from 77% to 79%

bought Ṁ10 NO from 79% to 77%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ50/Ṁ50 YES at 80%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

filled limit order Ṁ200/Ṁ200 NO at 79%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ29/Ṁ150 YES at 85% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ300 YES from 78% to 84%