In which ways has Luigi Mangione been involved with Effective Altruism?
20
1kṀ2459
Apr 1
49%
Subscribed to at least one EA newsletter
30%
Participated in at least one EA Discord/Slack/other social media channel
25%
Donated to a typical EA charity
25%
Been to at least one physical EA meetup
15%
Participated in at least one EA virtual event
4%
Attended an EA Global or EAGx conference

Luigi Mangione, who has been accused of killing UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, has been described as having

expressed interest in more rational, evidence-based forms of compassion, like effective altruism

(source) and

wanted to meet my other founding members and start a community based on ideas like rationalism, Stoicism, and effective altruism

(source, both quoting the same person).

At closing of this market, I will try to use my best judgment to determine if he was actually involved in the effective altruism community in each way prior to his arrest. If there is no evidence of him being involved in some way, that way will resolve NO by default.

  • Update 2025-04-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Default Resolution:

    • In the absence of concrete evidence of Luigi Mangione’s involvement with effective altruism, each option will automatically resolve as NO.

Resolution Timeline:

  • The creator plans to finalize the resolution in about one week from now, rather than waiting until market closure.

Evidence Submission:

  • If any new or private evidence is provided before that timeframe, it may affect the resolution.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

I was not able to find any concrete evidence for any of these, so I will resolve all options as NO in about a week unless anyone here has anything to share. Remember, sunlight is the best disinfectant and secrecy is how FTX happened and all that, so if anyone got some private information fess up please. Also cc @LuigiMangione of course.

@1941159478 am I understanding correctly that the Luigi account is just a joke?

reposted

This market will resolve at the end of the month. As far as I'm aware there's no indication of a YES for any option. So unless someone here is willing to spill the beans I'd presumably resolve all markets here as NO then.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules