FiveThirtyEight’s Biden approval rating on November 30?

Ṁ8864

resolved Dec 2

ALL

100%91%

38.0% to 38.9%

0.1%

Less than 37%

1.5%

37.0% to 37.9%

39.0% to 39.9%

0.8%

40.0% to 40.9%

0.1%

41.0% to 41.9%

0.1%

At least 42%

This resolves as per the FiveThirtyEight weighted average of approval polls for President Biden at 23:59 Eastern Time. I will look at the large number displayed here, rounded to the nearest thousandth:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

(Question borrowed from RANGE)

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8 Comments

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@1941159478 you plan to do one of these for Dec?

@ScottSupak Thanks for the reminder :) https://manifold.markets/1941159478/fivethirtyeights-biden-approval-rat-b06b05eb8696

Looking forward to the Dec market!

Please resolve.

@1941159478, final number is 38.2%, please resolve to "38.0% to 38.9%"

@DanielTilkin Jup, thanks!

Dammit morning consult and harris insights dropping on the 30th

@AlQuinn The MC is a weekly, always comes on Thursday morning. The Harris is more of a wild card, but I think the big problem here was the Leger 35.

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