Will there be at least twice the number of YES holders than NO holders?

Question

Week 1.

As viewed in the "Holders" tab.

For example, 16 YES 9 NO resolves NO, but 16 YES 8 NO resolves YES.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 32% chance (6 traders, as of Oct 3, 2026).

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