I will resolve this market NO at the end of August unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Impossible Mode)
3
1kṀ1377
Sep 1
18%
chance

You must persuade me that I am not a Anti-Superforecaster.

https://manifold.markets/121?tab=trades, view by profit and you will see. At time of market creation, I have 40 markets with at least 100 loss but only 24 with at least 100 gain. Also I have 9 markets with at least 1000 loss and only 2 with at least 1000 gain. My lifetime profit is -18606, but -26606 if you do not count my 8000 mana from mana exploits.

To persuade me, you must find someone who I deem is worse of a forecaster than me. I deem @Tumbles as a better forecaster as he has more profit instances than losses even though his losses are large. Equivalently, try to convince me I am not the worst forecaster on this website.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Iconic market, much respect

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy